What are the current odds for "Will Iran strike Turkey in March?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 8.0% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $445.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Iran strike Turkey in March?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 8.0% or No shares at 92.0%. The market has $23.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Mar 7, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Iran strike Turkey in March?

Updated Today

With only 12% implied probability of Iranian military action against Turkey in March, markets assess escalation risk as low despite broader regional tensions. The low odds reflect current diplomatic dynamics, though geopolitical catalysts could rapidly shift this forecast.

Current Probability

8.0%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$12.50 return per $1

If No wins

$1.09 return per $1