What are the current odds for "Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.4% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $10.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.4% or No shares at 97.7%. The market has $10.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketpolitics

Will Trump repeal Presidential term limits in 2026?

Updated 3 weeks ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Currently 2.4% on Polymarket, with $10,796 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

2.4%-0.04%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$42.55 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Donald Trump signs any bill into law that aims to repeal or alter presidential term limits as defined by the 22nd Amendment to the U.S. Constitution, such a bill is otherwise passed into law, or if the U.S. Supreme Court rules in a way that would permit a president to serve more than two terms by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."

Any law signed meeting these criteria will count, even if its implementation is immediately halted or delayed by judicial or other actions.

This market's resolution source will be official information from the Trump administration and U.S. Supreme Court decisions.