Updated Today
Will Trevor Merrell advance from the CA-04 primary election? is currently trading at 15.0% on Polymarket, with $5,304 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$6.67 return per $1
If No wins
$1.18 return per $1
Price Changes
KalshiWho will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?
Outcome: Esther Kim Varet
KalshiWho will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?
Outcome: Joe Kerr
KalshiWho will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?
Outcome: Young Kim
KalshiWho will advance in the CA-40 top 2 primary election?
Outcome: Ken Calvert
KalshiWill the margin of victory for Juliana Stratton in the 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate primary election be between 6% and 9%?
Outcome: Stratton, 6-9%
KalshiWill the margin of victory for Juliana Stratton in the 2026 Illinois Democratic Senate primary election be between 3% and 6%?
Outcome: Stratton, 3-6%
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$4.37M volIslanders vs. Senators
PM·$988.1K volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volMaple Leafs vs. Senators
PM·$464.0K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$2.68M volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$8.80M volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$4.05M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K volIslanders vs. Senators: O/U 5.5
PM·$189.3K volMiami Open: Elena Rybakina vs Yulia Putintseva
PM·$154.4K volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
PM·$1.02M volMiami Open: Janice Tjen vs Yulia Putintseva
PM·$185.1K vol