Updated Today
Tesla's autonomous taxi ambitions face skepticism, with markets placing a 16% probability on the company launching robotaxis in California by June 30th. The deadline represents a critical test of whether the company can move from demonstrations to commercial-scale operations.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$7.14 return per $1
If No wins
$1.16 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?
PM·$16.81M volLakers vs. Rockets
PM·$4.65M volTrail Blazers vs. Nets
PM·$2.20M volTrail Blazers vs. Pacers
PM·$1.70M volBackpack FDV above $200M one day after launch?
PM·$3.10M volSpread: Rockets (-1.5)
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PM·$912.5K volSpread: Rockets (-8.5)
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PM·$715.4K volSpread: Trail Blazers (-12.5)
PM·$679.0K volSpread: Rockets (-1.5)
PM·$628.8K volBackpack FDV above $300M one day after launch?
PM·$1.62M vol