What are the current odds for "Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?"?

As of April 2026, prediction markets give this a 8.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $362 in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 8.5% or No shares at 91.5%. The market has $10.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 8 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketcrypto

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31?

Updated Today

Will Satoshi's identity be revealed by December 31? is currently trading at 8.5% on Polymarket, with $362 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

8.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$11.76 return per $1

If No wins

$1.09 return per $1

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$6.41M vol

-0.01% 24h

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$10.5K

24h Volume$354

Total Volume$362

Liquidity$10.5K

Ends8 months

End DateDec 31, 2026

Price Changes

24 hours+0.01%

Trade Now

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