Updated Today
A Putin-Zelenskyy summit by June 30, 2026, remains a distant prospect, with markets giving it just an 8% chance. The ongoing geopolitical rift makes direct talks highly unlikely absent a major shift in the conflict's trajectory or international mediation breakthrough.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$25.97 return per $1
If No wins
$1.04 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Trump say "Ayatollah" or "Khamenei" this week? (March 15)
PM·$2.71M volSenators vs. Capitals
PM·$795.3K volWill Trump visit China by March 31?
PM·$3.24M volKigali 2: Marco Trungelliti vs Marco Cecchinato
PM·$203.2K volWill Trump acquire Greenland before 2027?
PM·$30.62M volWill Trump visit China by April 30?
PM·$1.85M volTrump out as President by March 31?
PM·$7.94M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 15th?
PM·$1.02M volTrump announces end of military operations against Iran by March 31st?
PM·$1.98M volNext Thai Prime Minister Chosen by March 31?
PM·$447.2K volPutin out as President of Russia by December 31, 2026?
PM·$2.88M volKigali 2: Marco Cecchinato vs Sandro Kopp
PM·$84.0K vol
KalshiVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jul 1, 2026?
Outcome: Before July 2026
KalshiVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 20, 2029?
Outcome: Before Jan 20, 2029
KalshiVolodymyr Zelenskyy and Vladimir Putin meet before Jan 1, 2027?
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWhere will Trump and Putin's first meeting after their planned August 15, 2025 meeting in Alaska occur?
Outcome: Hungary
KalshiWhere will Trump and Putin next meet?
Outcome: Turkey
