What are the current odds for "Will Meta acquire TikTok?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 9.6% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $103.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Meta acquire TikTok?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 9.6% or No shares at 90.4%. The market has $4.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will Meta acquire TikTok?

Updated Today

A Meta acquisition of TikTok would represent one of tech's most transformative deals, potentially reshaping social media competition amid U.S.-China tensions. Markets currently give the deal just a 4% chance of closing by year-end 2026, reflecting significant regulatory and geopolitical obstacles.

Current Probability

9.6%-0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$10.42 return per $1

If No wins

$1.11 return per $1