Updated Today
With TikTok facing potential U.S. bans and ownership questions, markets give Elon Musk's X (formerly Twitter) only a 6% chance of acquiring the platform by end of 2026. Such a deal would face enormous regulatory, financial, and antitrust obstacles.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$7.69 return per $1
If No wins
$1.15 return per $1
Price Changes
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
PM·$19.10M volWill Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
PM·$5.82M volWill Iran strike Israel on March 10?
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PM·$4.94M volClippers vs. Pelicans
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KalshiElon Musk vs Altman et al
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiElon Musk Trillionaire Before 2027
Outcome: Before 2027
KalshiWill Elon Musk be the world's first trillionaire?
Outcome: Elon Musk
KalshiWill Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2028?
Outcome: Before 2028
KalshiWill Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2030?
Outcome: Before 2030
KalshiWill Elon Musk be a trillionaire before 2029?
Outcome: Before 2029
