
Updated Today
Crude oil markets currently give a 13% chance that West Texas Intermediate crude falls to $75 per barrel by month-end March 2026. This low probability reflects current price levels and geopolitical stability, though OPEC+ decisions and global demand could still trigger a sharp decline.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$8.00 return per $1
If No wins
$1.14 return per $1
Price Changes
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
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