
Updated Today
Crude oil markets are pricing in sustained geopolitical tension or supply disruptions as the primary driver toward triple-digit prices. Markets currently give oil an 85% chance of hitting $100 by March 2026, reflecting tight supply dynamics and OPEC+ output decisions. Energy traders closely monitor this level as a psychological and technical benchmark.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$1.31 return per $1
If No wins
$4.25 return per $1
Price Changes
Netanyahu out by March 31?
Will Iran strike Israel on March 6?
Will Iran strike Israel on March 10?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (LOW) $85 by end of March?
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Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $95 by end of March?
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $90 by end of March?
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