What are the current odds for "Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 24.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.46M in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 24.5% or No shares at 75.5%. The market has $50.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,755

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,605,373,058

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$481,311,792

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,735,360,079

Polymarket$2.36BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.10MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.72MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,755

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,605,373,058

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$481,311,792

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,735,360,079

Polymarket$2.36BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.10MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.72MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketcrypto

Will Bitcoin dip to $35,000 by December 31, 2026?

Updated Today

Bitcoin's volatility makes extreme price movements plausible but uncommon, and a drop to $35K would represent a significant correction from current levels. Traders currently estimate just a 25% probability of this dip occurring by year-end 2026.

Current Probability

24.5%+0.01%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$4.08 return per $1

If No wins

$1.32 return per $1