What are the current odds for "Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.9% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $148.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.9% or No shares at 97.0%. The market has $10.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,755

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,605,373,058

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$481,311,792

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,735,360,079

Polymarket$2.36BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.10MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.72MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

122,755

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,605,373,058

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$481,311,792

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,735,360,079

Polymarket$2.36BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$352.10MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.72MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketother

Will another country recognize Somaliland by March 31?

Updated Today

Somaliland's bid for international recognition faces long odds, with markets giving just a 2% chance another country will recognize it by March 31. The self-declared state remains diplomatically isolated despite decades of stability, with major powers reluctant to antagonize Somalia.

Current Probability

2.9%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$33.90 return per $1

If No wins

$1.03 return per $1