What are the current odds for "US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 26.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $877.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 26.5% or No shares at 73.5%. The market has $248.7K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 weeks (Mar 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

121,838

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,565,533,998

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$463,658,245

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,630,155,679

Polymarket$2.26BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$350.04MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.32MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

121,838

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,565,533,998

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$463,658,245

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$2,630,155,679

Polymarket$2.26BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$350.04MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$18.32MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketother

US escorts commercial ship through Hormuz by March 31?

Updated Today

Geopolitical tensions around the Strait of Hormuz drive this market, which gives US commercial ship escorts a 32% probability by March 31. Regional instability and shipping security concerns make this outcome directly relevant to oil prices and trade.

Current Probability

26.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$3.77 return per $1

If No wins

$1.36 return per $1