What are the current odds for "Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 15.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $1.0K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 15.5% or No shares at 84.5%. The market has $5.0K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 years (Jan 1, 2028). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Relay FDV above $800M one day after launch?

Updated 2 months ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Currently 15.5% on Polymarket, with $1,006 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

15.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$6.45 return per $1

If No wins

$1.18 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if the Fully Diluted Valuation of Relay's governance token is greater than the value specified in the title 1 day after launch. Otherwise, the market will resolve to "No."

The token must be actively, publicly transferable and tradable to be considered a launch.

The FDV will be determined using the total token supply multiplied by the token price.

"1 day after launch" is defined as 4:00 PM ET on the calendar day following launch. The resolution source for this market is the most liquid price source available. If Relay (https://x.com/Relayprotocol) doesn't launch a token by December 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".

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