What are the current odds for "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 7.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $4.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 7.5% or No shares at 92.5%. The market has $13.5K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (Apr 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30?

Updated Today

Pete Hegseth out as Secretary of Defense by April 30? is currently trading at 7.5% on Polymarket, with $4,145 in total trading volume. Track live odds, price history, and compare across prediction market platforms.

Current Probability

7.5%

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$13.33 return per $1

If No wins

$1.08 return per $1

Compare on Other Platforms

Kalshi

Will Howard Lutnick leaves Commerce Secretary in before April?

Outcome: Before Apr 1, 2026

3.0%

$39.5K vol

Related Markets

Pete Hegseth Out as Defense Secretary

1.5%

$206.1K vol

++0.00% 24h

Price History

Market Stats

Open Interest$13.5K

24h Volume$1.5K

Total Volume$4.1K

Liquidity$13.5K

Ends1 months

End DateApr 30, 2026

Price Changes

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