What are the current odds for "Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 79.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Limitless with $1.1K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?"?

This market is available on Limitless. You can trade Yes shares at 79.5% or No shares at 20.5%. The market has $1.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Jan 1, 2027). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Pep Guardiola out as Manchester City manager by the end of 2026?

Updated 1 month ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 79.5% on Limitless, with $1,071 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

79.5%

Trade on Limitless

YesNo

If Yes wins

$1.26 return per $1

If No wins

$4.88 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Limitless

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Pep Guardiola permanently ceases to be the manager of Manchester City before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No". Temporary absences (including but not limited: to medical leave, compassionate leave, suspension, or touchline bans) will not be considered. An announcement of Pep Guardiola’s resignation/firing before this market's end date will immediately resolve this market to "Yes", regardless of when the announced resignation/firing goes into effect. This market's primary resolution source will be official information from Manchester City and/or Pep Guardiola. However, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.