What are the current odds for "Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give this a 1.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $3.8K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 1.5% or No shares at 98.6%. The market has $5.1K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 5 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarkettech

Jerome Powell in jail before 2027?

Updated 1 month ago

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Currently 1.5% on Polymarket, with $3,761 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

1.5%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$68.97 return per $1

If No wins

$1.01 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "Yes" if Jerome Powell serves any time in a federal, state, or local U.S. jail or prison between market creation and December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET. Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".

The primary resolution source for this market will be official information from the U.S. Government, however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.