Updated Today
The prospect of federal charges against Fed Chair Jerome Powell remains extraordinarily unlikely, with markets pricing it at just 4% by June 30, 2026. Such an outcome would represent an unprecedented political shock and institutional crisis for the nation's central bank.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$29.85 return per $1
If No wins
$1.03 return per $1
Price Changes
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 20?
PM·$678.3K volCrude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
PM·$344.1K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?
PM·$297.5K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
PM·$302.3K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
PM·$318.5K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11AM ET
PM·$268.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET
PM·$249.0K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 10AM ET
PM·$242.9K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9AM ET
PM·$237.2K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 20?
PM·$219.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 20, 9AM ET
PM·$216.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET
PM·$213.3K vol
