
Updated Today
Jerome Powell's term as Federal Reserve Chair extends through 2026, with prediction markets giving his removal by May an extremely unlikely 1% probability. Political and economic stability strongly favor continuity in this crucial monetary policy role.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$43.48 return per $1
If No wins
$1.02 return per $1
Price Changes
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
S&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3PM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11AM ET
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
Will Jerome Powell be Chair of the Federal Open Market Committee (including in acting capacity) on Jun 17, 2026?
Outcome: Jerome Powell
Fed Reserve Open Board Meeting
Outcome: Good Afternoon
Powell at Fed Open Board Meeting
Outcome: Economy
What will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?
Outcome: Inflation
What will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?
Outcome: Good Morning
What will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?
Outcome: Rate