Updated Today
Jerome Powell's tenure as Federal Reserve Chair has shaped U.S. monetary policy through inflation battles and economic uncertainty. Markets currently give a 65% chance Powell leaves the Fed Board by May 30, 2026, reflecting speculation about his future role in the institution beyond his chairmanship.
Current Probability
If Yes wins
$2.41 return per $1
If No wins
$1.71 return per $1
Price Changes
Crude Oil (CL) Up or Down on March 18?
PM·$344.1K volS&P 500 (SPX) Up or Down on March 19?
PM·$297.5K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 19?
PM·$302.3K volBitcoin Up or Down on March 18?
PM·$318.5K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 11AM ET
PM·$268.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 2PM ET
PM·$249.0K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 9AM ET
PM·$237.2K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 3PM ET
PM·$213.3K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 12PM ET
PM·$208.8K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 19, 3PM ET
PM·$203.4K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 11AM ET
PM·$199.7K volBitcoin Up or Down - March 18, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET
PM·$191.3K vol
KalshiFed Reserve Open Board Meeting
Outcome: Good Afternoon
KalshiPowell at Fed Open Board Meeting
Outcome: Economy
KalshiWhat will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?
Outcome: Inflation
KalshiWhat will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?
Outcome: Good Morning
KalshiWhat will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?
Outcome: Rate
KalshiWhat will Jerome Powell say during Federal Reserve Open Board Meeting?
Outcome: Tariff
