What are the current odds for "China coup attempt before 2027?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 5.4% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $108.9K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "China coup attempt before 2027?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 5.4% or No shares at 94.6%. The market has $17.2K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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China coup attempt before 2027?

Updated Today

A coup attempt in China before 2027 carries just a 6% probability among prediction market traders, reflecting widespread assessments of political stability despite ongoing tensions. This low probability suggests markets view the risk as remote given current institutional structures and power dynamics.

Current Probability

5.4%-0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$18.52 return per $1

If No wins

$1.06 return per $1