What are the current odds for "Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give Up a 1.5% probability. This market is trading on Polymarket with $167.7K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Up shares at 1.5% or Down shares at 98.5%. The market has $3.6K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve Ended (Mar 16, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,740

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,762,428,991

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$577,969,177

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,417,251,902

Polymarket$3.04BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$356.20MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$24.17MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Total Active Markets

Count of all non-resolved markets currently tracked across Polymarket, Kalshi, and Limitless.

127,740

Total Volume

Lifetime trading volume across all platforms. Polymarket and Kalshi report volume directly; Limitless volume is cumulative USDC traded.

$5,762,428,991

24h Volume

24-hour trading volume. Polymarket and Kalshi report this directly. Limitless does not break out 24h volume separately, so it is not included.

$577,969,177

Total Open Interest

Polymarket: sum of pool liquidity. Kalshi: open interest (contracts outstanding). Limitless: uses total volume as a proxy — no separate OI metric is available.

$3,417,251,902

Polymarket$3.04BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.

Kalshi$356.20MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.

Limitless$24.17MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.

Polymarketcrypto

Bitcoin Up or Down - March 16, 8:00AM-12:00PM ET

Updated Ended

Bitcoin's four-hour movement on March 16, 2026 between 8 AM and noon ET is priced at just 2% odds for an upward move. This tight time window makes directional prediction especially difficult, requiring precise intraday momentum rather than broader trend assessment.

Current Probability

1.5%

Trade on Polymarket

UpDown

If Up wins

$66.67 return per $1

If Down wins

$1.02 return per $1