Question 1

What are the current odds for "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?"?

Accepted Answer

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 17.5% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $44.3K in total volume.

Question 2

Where can I trade on "Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?"?

Accepted Answer

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 17.5% or No shares at 82.5%. The market has $11.1K in liquidity.

Question 3

When does this prediction market close?

Accepted Answer

This market is scheduled to resolve 1 months (Apr 30, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Bab el-Mandeb Strait effectively closed by April 30?

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