What are the current odds for "Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give O 74.5 a 45.0% probability. This market is trading on Polymarket with $23.0K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 months (Oct 5, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

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Will the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Miami Marlins

Updated 4 months ago

This market will resolve to "O 74.5" if the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. Currently 45.0% on Polymarket, with $23,012 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

45.0%

Trade on Polymarket

O 74.5U 74.5

If O 74.5 wins

$2.22 return per $1

If U 74.5 wins

$1.82 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "O 74.5" if the Miami Marlins win more than 74.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Miami Marlins to record more than 74.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 74.5".

If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

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