What are the current odds for "Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?"?

As of July 2026, prediction markets give O 78.5 a 58.5% probability. This market is trading on Polymarket with $3.2K in total volume.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 2 months (Oct 5, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

PolymarketsportsMulti-Outcome

Will the Athletics win more than 78.5 games in the 2026 MLB Regular Season?

Athletics

Updated 2 months ago

This market will resolve to "O 78.5" if the Athletics win more than 78.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season. Currently 58.5% on Polymarket, with $3,160 in total trading volume.

Current Probability

58.5%

Trade on Polymarket

O 78.5U 78.5

If O 78.5 wins

$1.71 return per $1

If U 78.5 wins

$2.41 return per $1

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Resolution Criteria

From Polymarket

This market will resolve to "O 78.5" if the Athletics win more than 78.5 games during the 2026 MLB Regular Season.

If at any point it becomes statistically impossible for the Athletics to record more than 78.5 wins per the rules of the MLB, the corresponding market will resolve to "U 78.5".

If the MLB Regular Season is cancelled, partially completed, or postponed after November 30, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "50-50".

The resolution source will be official information from Major League Baseball (https://www.mlb.com/standings/); however a consensus of credible reporting may also be used.

View full rules

Listed on Polymarket Mar 3, 2026 · Resolves Oct 5, 2026