What are the current odds for "1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?"?

As of March 2026, prediction markets give this a 2.3% probability of resolving Yes. This market is trading on Polymarket with $92.3K in total volume.

Where can I trade on "1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?"?

This market is available on Polymarket. You can trade Yes shares at 2.3% or No shares at 97.8%. The market has $16.3K in liquidity.

When does this prediction market close?

This market is scheduled to resolve 9 months (Dec 31, 2026). After resolution, winning shares pay out $1.00 each.

Polymarketother

1 megaton meteor strike in 2026?

Updated Today

A megaton-scale asteroid impact would devastate an area the size of a major city and cause global consequences. Markets price a 2026 megaton meteor strike at just 2%, reflecting the rarity of such events—similar impacts occur roughly once every million years on average.

Current Probability

2.3%+0.00%24h

Trade on Polymarket

YesNo

If Yes wins

$44.44 return per $1

If No wins

$1.02 return per $1