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If U.S. nonfarm business sector labor productivity year-over-year growth is above 3% in any quarter of 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 26, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%? are: Above 3%: 40%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will U.S. nonfarm productivity YoY in any quarter for 2026 be above 3%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.