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If the "TOTAL 2026" value for Imports on the U.S. Census Bureau "Trade in goods with Iran" table (values in millions of U.S. dollars) for 2026 is greater than 5.0, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 27, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M? are: in 2026: 23%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will U.S. imports from Iran for 2026 be greater than $5M? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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