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If President Trump has announced that he asked for the resignation of, or fired, exactly 5 non-acting Cabinet members before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 23, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Trump fire 0 Cabinet members before 2027? are: 0: 44%, 5: 44%, 2: 20%, 1: 10%, 4: 10%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Trump fire 0 Cabinet members before 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
