New York Yankees
Tampa Bay
Boston
HoustonAmerican League Champion
Updated 28m ago
If [outcome] win the 2026 Pro Baseball American League Championship, then the market resolves to Yes.
Market analysis
Analysis generated Aug 30, 2026
Kalshi prices the AL champion race as a two-way contest between the Yankees (23%) and Tampa Bay Rays (21%), with Boston (14%) and the White Sox (12%) in a lower tier. The Rays lead the AL East by three games over the Yankees with a month remaining, but New York's 16-1 shellacking of Boston today signals offensive firepower that could tip the division down the stretch. The White Sox have emerged as the AL Central front-runners and as a surprise wild-card threat, nine games clear of the third wild-card cutoff despite historical mediocrity across the league.
As of September 11, 2026, the Kalshi odds for American League Champion are: New York Yankees: 25%, Tampa Bay: 25%, Boston: 14%, Houston: 12%, Chicago WS: 10%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
American League Champion is currently listed on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability — we surface the same event on Polymarket, Kalshi, Limitless & Predict.fun when it's listed on more than one platform.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
