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If Tom Cruise has won Best Actor at the 99th Academy Awards, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 28, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Adam Driver win Best Actor at the Oscars? are: Tom Cruise: 33%, John Malkovich: 18%, Sebastian Stan: 9%, Josh O'Connor: 9%, Brad Pitt: 8%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Adam Driver win Best Actor at the Oscars? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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