Will the yield curve par rate for 3-month U.S. Treasury securities for Q1 2026 be above 3.50%?
Updated Today
If the first published Treasury Daily Treasury yield curve par rate for 3-month U.S. Treasury securities corresponding to the final U.S. business-day yield-curve reference date for Q1 2026 is above 4.00%, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Above 3.50%on Mar 31, 2026
As of March 22, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the yield curve par rate for 3-month U.S. Treasury securities for Q1 2026 be above 3.50%? are: Above 3.50%: 98%, Above 3.75%: 26%, Above 4.00%: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the yield curve par rate for 3-month U.S. Treasury securities for Q1 2026 be above 3.50%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
