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If the Supreme Court rules that same-sex marriage is not required by the Constitution before Jan 1, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 31, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality? are: Before 2029: 13%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Supreme Court overturn marriage equality? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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