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If ICE reports that the minimum price of oil (as defined exclusively by the set of WTI front-month settle prices) is below $85 between Issuance and Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 9, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $50 by Dec 31, 2026? are: 84.99 or below: 59%, 79.99 or below: 50%, 74.99 or below: 32%, 69.99 or below: 31%, 64.99 or below: 11%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the minimum WTI front month settle price reach $50 by Dec 31, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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