Will the margin of victory for Bill Cassidy in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary be between 0% and 3%?
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If the margin of victory for Julia Letlow in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary falls between 6% and 9%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 23, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the margin of victory for Bill Cassidy in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary be between 0% and 3%? are: Julia Letlow, 9%+: 15%, Julia Letlow, 3-6%: 13%, Julia Letlow, 0-3%: 13%, Julia Letlow, 6-9%: 13%, Bill Cassidy, 0-3%: 7%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the margin of victory for Bill Cassidy in the first round of the 2026 Louisiana Republican Senate primary be between 0% and 3%? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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