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If the IRS collects more tax revenue in 2026 than 2025, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 26, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year? are: For tax year 2026: 74%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the IRS collect more in taxes this year than last year? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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