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If a reconciliation bill passes the House before May 22, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 26, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026? are: Before Jan 1, 2027: 43%, Before Jul 3, 2026: 20%, Before May 22, 2026: 19%, Before May 1, 2026: 5%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the House pass a reconciliation bill before December 31, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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