Polymarket$2.96BOIOpen interest: sum of pool liquidity across all active markets, reported by the Polymarket API.
Kalshi$356.00MOIOpen interest: total contracts outstanding across all active markets, reported by the Kalshi API.
Limitless$23.89MOIOpen interest: estimated from total volume traded (USDC). Limitless does not report a separate OI metric.
Updated Today
If the Federal Reserve does a Hike of >25bps on March 18, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Winner: Fed maintains rateon Mar 18, 2026
As of March 18, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their March 2026 meeting? are: Fed maintains rate: 99%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the Federal Reserve Cut rates by 25bps at their March 2026 meeting? is currently available on Kalshi. It is also available on Polymarket — compare odds across both platforms on our cross-platform comparison page.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
