Updated Ended
If the National Snow & Ice Data Center records a day between December 19, 2023 and April 01, 2024 where the extent of arctic sea ice is Above 15.2 million square kilometers, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 27, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will the extent of the arctic sea ice be above 14.0 million square km between December 19, 2023 and April 01, 2024? are: Above 14.0 million sq km: 99%, Above 14.8 million sq km: 99%, Above 14.6 million sq km: 99%, Above 14.41 million sq km: 99%, Above 14.646 million sq km: 98%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will the extent of the arctic sea ice be above 14.0 million square km between December 19, 2023 and April 01, 2024? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
Winner: Above 14.0 million sq kmon Mar 12, 2024