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If SpaceX launches Starship flight test number 12 before June 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 8, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Apr 30, 2026? are: Before June: 60%, Before May: 3%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will SpaceX launch another Starship by Apr 30, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.