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If Pete Hegseth leaves as Secretary of Defense before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 7, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Aug 1, 2026? are: Before May 1, 2026: 41%, Before Sep 1, 2026: 36%, Before Aug 1, 2026: 26%, Before Jul 1, 2026: 16%, Before Jun 1, 2026: 11%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Pete Hegseth be out as Secretary of Defense before Aug 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.