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If OpenAI announces that they have attained AGI by Dec 31, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 6, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? are: Before 2030: 57%, Before 2028: 39%, Before 2027: 20%, Before 2025: 2%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will OpenAI announce the creation of AGI? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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