Updated Today
If a bill becomes law that eliminates any of the following ACA provisions: (1) the employer mandate (2) the Medicaid eligibility expansion (3) the protection for preexisting conditions (4) permitting people up to the age of 26 to be on their parents' health care plans or (5) ends the premium subsidies for households on the ACA marketplace before Jan 20, 2029, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 29, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Obamacare be repealed before Jan 20, 2029? are: Before Jan 20, 2029: 25%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Obamacare be repealed before Jan 20, 2029? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.