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If MrBeast has at least 500 million subscribers before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 29, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will MrBeast reach 500 million subscribers this year? are: Jan 1, 2027: 88%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will MrBeast reach 500 million subscribers this year? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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