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If the person occupying the position of Speaker of the House has resigned or otherwise left their leadership office after Issuance and before Nov 3, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 6, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026? are: Before Nov 3, 2026: 18%, Before July 2026: 10%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Mike Johnson no longer be Speaker of the House before 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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