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If a law authorizing a new personal income tax bracket or surcharge on incomes over $1 million for New York City residents has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 1, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027? are: Yes: 16%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Mamdani tax incomes over $1M before 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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