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If a law establishing or renaming an existing agency to the Department of Community Safety has become law in New York City before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 25, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027? are: Yes: 31%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Mamdani establish a Department of Community Safety before 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.