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If Israel Katz has either officially announced their intention to leave as Minister of Defense of Israel or has actually left as Minister of Defense of Israel before Jan 1, 2027, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 6, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Israel Katz leave Minister of Defense of Israel before Jan 1, 2027? are: Before 2027: 41%, Before 2026: 4%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Israel Katz leave Minister of Defense of Israel before Jan 1, 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.