Updated Today
If Howard Lutnick leaves (or announces he will leave) as Commerce Secretary before May 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of April 5, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will Howard Lutnick announce their departure as Commerce Secretary before Aug 1, 2026? are: Before Aug 1, 2026: 41%, Before Jul 1, 2026: 35%, Before Jun 1, 2026: 28%, Before May 1, 2026: 23%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will Howard Lutnick announce their departure as Commerce Secretary before Aug 1, 2026? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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