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If government spending increases by at least $750 billion above the Q4 2025 level in any quarter during 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
As of March 27, 2026, the Kalshi odds for Will government spending increase by 1000000000000 before 2027? are: At least $50 billion: 99%, At least $1 billion: 99%, At least $100 billion: 91%, At least $200 billion: 89%, At least $300 billion: 78%. These probabilities are derived from real-money trading and update in real time.
Will government spending increase by 1000000000000 before 2027? is currently available on Kalshi. Check PredictMarketCap for cross-platform availability as new markets are added regularly.
Prediction market odds reflect the aggregate opinion of traders who risk real money on outcomes. The price of a share (e.g., 65¢) represents the market's implied probability (65%). Prices move as traders buy and sell based on new information, polls, and analysis.
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